April 20: Level 3 Risk
Today, we’ve got a level 3/5 (enhanced) risk for parts of Missouri and Arkansas. We will have deployable equipment on this event RDD-1, 2, and 4 are on the way, as is 5, but 5 needs a battery installed, which will be taken care of tomorrow, but that still leaves 3 available units. Really don’t have much to write about today, but here’s what we’re working with.
SPC: Today
Current expectation is that a line of storms will form in eastern Oklahoma and eastern Kansas and then move up the I-44 corridor. Latest HRRR supports this (below). Some risk for a few tornadoes, even a strong one or two, exists. Timing for this event should work in our favor and be a little bit earlier than we’re used to. We’re talking more like 3-8PM, which is good for a storm chasing perspective.
RadarOmega HRRR model at 3PM central.
The big question with today is how much instability (storm fuel) we will have to work with. There’s some on-going precipitation (below) in SW Missouri that may keep the sun from helping us out in that department. The sooner that clears out, the greater our severe risk will be.
RadarOmega MRMS composite at 9:30am central.
Beyond Today…
Project WeatherEye is targeting this area circled below for the timeframe from Tuesday thru Saturday. There’s no real, considerable, official risk areas from the SPC yet, but the weather pattern suggests we’ll have just enough ingredients for severe storms over the next several days, but it’s going to be smaller events that are less predictable, which is common this time of year!
